Speenkalwers

Die speenkalfprys het in Week 24 effens gestyg teenoor die vorige week en is tans 18.2% hoër as dieselfde periode ‘n jaar gelede. Die speenkalfprys sit dus die bestendige sywaartse tendens voort, selfs gedurende speentyd, wat ongekend is vir hierdie tyd van die jaar.
Die verwagting is dat die prys ‘n moontlike stygende tendens kan volg vanaf Julie tot in Augustus wanneer die aandbod van kalwers gewoonlik begin daal. Volgens ’n 95% sekerheid voorspelling, gebaseer op die afgelope
17 jaar se historiese data, behoort die speenkalfprys in Julie ongeveer R43/kg te wees, terwyl die prys nie laer as R40/kg en nie hoër as R47/kg behoort te wees nie.

A2 Beeskarkasse

Die gemiddelde A2 karkasprys het in Week 24 met 2.1% gestyg teenoor die vorige week en is tans 21.7% laer as dieselfde periode ‘n jaar gelede toe die prys skerp gestyg het na die uitbreking van BEK by Karan Beef. Die huidige styging in die prys kan toegeskryf word aan ‘n volgehoue laer aanbod op karkasse tans in die mark. Die verwagting is dat die prys effens kan daal in Julie, weens swakker vraag na prima snitte in die winter, en dan ‘n sywaartse tendens in Augustus kan volg. Volgens ’n 95% sekerheid voorspelling, gebaseer op die afgelope 17 jaar se historiese data, behoort die A2 karkasprys in Julie ongeveer R62/kg te wees, terwyl die prys nie laer as R56/kg en nie hoër as R68/kg behoort te wees nie.

Stoorlammers

Die stoorlamprys het in Week 24 met 1.7% gestyg teenoor die vorige week en is tans 7.2% hoër as dieselfde periode ‘n jaar gelede. Die styging in die prys kan toegeskryf word aan ‘n laer aanbod op lammers tans in die mark. Die verwagting is dat die prys ‘n moontlike stygende tendens kan volhou tot in Julie en vanaf Augustus kan daal. Volgens ’n 95% sekerheid voorspelling, gebaseer op die afgelope 17 jaar se historiese data, behoort die stoorlamprys in Julie ongeveer R54/kg te wees, terwyl dit nie laer as R47/kg en nie hoër as R59/kg behoort
te wees nie.

A2 Lamkarkasse

Die A2 lamkarkasprys het in Week 24 met 1.1% gedaal teenoor die vorige week en is 3.4% hoër as dieselfde periode ‘n jaar gelede. Die daling in die prys kan toegeskryf word aan ‘n laer vraag na lamkarkasse weens beperkings op die uitvoere na die VAE. Die verwagting is dat die prys sal styg vanaf Julie tot in Augustus. Volgens ’n 95% sekerheid voorspelling, gebaseer op die afgelope 17 jaar se historiese data, behoort die A2 karkasprys in Julie ongeveer R115/kg te wees, terwyl die prys nie laer as R103/kg en nie hoër as R126/kg behoort te wees nie.

Weaners

The weaner calf price increased slightly in Week 24 compared to the previous week and is currently 18.2% higher than the same period a year ago. The weaner calf price, therefore, continues the steady sideways trend, even during weaning time, which is unprecedented for this time of year. The expectation is that the price may follow an upward trend from July to August, when the supply of calves usually starts to decline. According to a 95% certainty forecast, based on the past 17 years of historical data, the weaner calf price in July should be approximately R43/kg, while the price should not be lower than R40/kg and not higher than R47/kg.

A2 Beef Carcass

The average A2 carcass price increased by 2.1% in Week 24 compared to the previous week and is currently 21.7% lower than the same period a year ago, when the price increased sharply after the outbreak of FMD at Karan Beef. The current price increase can be attributed to a continued shortage of carcasses in the market. The expectation is that the price may decrease slightly in July due to weaker demand for prime cuts in winter, and that a sideways trend may follow in August. According to a 95% confidence forecast based on the past 17 years of historical data, the A2 carcass price in July should be approximately R62/kg, with a range of R56/kg to R68/kg.

Feeder lamb

The store lamb price increased by 1.7% in Week 24 compared to the previous week and is currently 7.2% higher than the same period a year ago. The price increase can be attributed to a lower supply of lambs in the market. The expectation is that the price may continue a possible upward trend until July and may decline from August onwards. According to a 95% confidence forecast based on the past 17 years of historical data, the store lamb price in July should be approximately R54/kg, with a range of R47/kg to R59/kg.

A2 Lamb Carcass

The A2 lamb carcass price decreased by 1.1% in Week 24 compared to the previous week and is 3.4% higher than the same period a year ago. The price decrease can be attributed to lower demand for lamb carcasses due to restrictions on exports to the UAE. The price is expected to increase from July to August. According to a 95% confidence forecast based on the past 17 years of historical data,
the A2 carcass price in July should be approximately R115/kg, with a range of R103/kg to R126/kg.